Comments on: After a Month of Negative Campaigning, Sen. McCain Can’t Close the Gap on Sen. Obama in National Polls http://dancody.org/archives/after-a-month-of-negative-campaigning-sen-mccain-cant-close-the-gap-on-sen-obama-in-national-polls.html Progressive commentary & Wisconsin politics by Dan Cody of Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Fri, 12 Mar 2010 23:48:45 -0600 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.6 hourly 1 By: Daniel Cody http://dancody.org/archives/after-a-month-of-negative-campaigning-sen-mccain-cant-close-the-gap-on-sen-obama-in-national-polls.html/comment-page-1#comment-31197 Daniel Cody Fri, 08 Aug 2008 02:44:40 +0000 http://dancody.org/?p=1547#comment-31197 And the RCP composite is still 47% to 43% in favor of Sen. Obama. I'm absolutely not one to get into this poll vs. that poll, because in the beginning of August, it's ridiculous. At this point, the bases in the two camps have made up their minds, and the undecideds are still... well, undecided. My point was that after a month of negative campaigning and trying to make everything and anything stick, the McCain campaign still trails by a not insignificant amount. And the RCP composite is still 47% to 43% in favor of Sen. Obama.

I’m absolutely not one to get into this poll vs. that poll, because in the beginning of August, it’s ridiculous. At this point, the bases in the two camps have made up their minds, and the undecideds are still… well, undecided.

My point was that after a month of negative campaigning and trying to make everything and anything stick, the McCain campaign still trails by a not insignificant amount.

]]> By: Smitty http://dancody.org/archives/after-a-month-of-negative-campaigning-sen-mccain-cant-close-the-gap-on-sen-obama-in-national-polls.html/comment-page-1#comment-31155 Smitty Thu, 07 Aug 2008 17:43:14 +0000 http://dancody.org/?p=1547#comment-31155 There are lots of polls out there and the numbers are all over the place. In nine polls Obma leads in eight and McCain in but one. But there are no blow outs. Obama's numbers range from 45 to 51% and McCain's from 39 to 49%. Odd that you'd pick the one poll where McCain's numbers are lowest. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/ There are lots of polls out there and the numbers are all over the place. In nine polls Obma leads in eight and McCain in but one. But there are no blow outs.

Obama’s numbers range from 45 to 51% and McCain’s from 39 to 49%.

Odd that you’d pick the one poll where McCain’s numbers are lowest.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/

]]> By: DaveS http://dancody.org/archives/after-a-month-of-negative-campaigning-sen-mccain-cant-close-the-gap-on-sen-obama-in-national-polls.html/comment-page-1#comment-31129 DaveS Thu, 07 Aug 2008 12:17:59 +0000 http://dancody.org/?p=1547#comment-31129 While your poll numbers from CBS are accurate, if I were on the Obama staff, I would be concerned about the trend in all poll numbers. Considering CBS's own comment about his "highly-publicized foreign trip", one would think the Senator Obama would have had a much more sizable lead. In fact, he should have cracked the 50% ceiling. In a recent Gallup poll of registered voters taken on 8/6/08, Senator Obam had a lead of only 46% to 44% for Senator McCain. And this after Senator Obama's "highly-publicized foreign trip". In a USA Today/Gallup poll of likely voters (usually more accurate than registered voters) taken between 7/25-28/08, Senator McCain actually has a lead of 49% to 45% for Senator Obama. This must be rather disturbing to the Senator Obama campaign considering all the media coverage the senator received from the main stream media while on his foreign trip. The fawning main stream media may have actually hurt Senator Obama. In a poll conducted by the nonpartisian Pew Research Center 8/1-4/08, 48% of the respondants said that they heard too much about Senator Obama while only 26% said they heard too much about Senator McCain. The breakdown of those numbers is really interesting: 2/3 of Republicans said they heard too much about Senator Obama (expected) About 1/2 of Independents heard too much about Senator Obama (interesting - all this media coverage may turn off some Ind. voters to Senator Obama) 1/3 of Democrats said they heard too much about Senator Obaba (surprising!!!) Further, about 40% of the respondants said that they did not hear enough about Senator McCain. The breakdown of those numbers is as follows: 50% of the Republicans (once again, expected) 40% of Independent voters (so, they want to learn more than what they can get in the main stream media) 25% of the Democrats that responded (once again, surprising!!) So while the left leaning CBS/NY Times poll may give the Obama supporters a warm, fuzzy feeling, a closer look at other poll numbers does not look good for Senator Obama. While your poll numbers from CBS are accurate, if I were on the Obama staff, I would be concerned about the trend in all poll numbers. Considering CBS’s own comment about his “highly-publicized foreign trip”, one would think the Senator Obama would have had a much more sizable lead. In fact, he should have cracked the 50% ceiling.

In a recent Gallup poll of registered voters taken on 8/6/08, Senator Obam had a lead of only 46% to 44% for Senator McCain. And this after Senator Obama’s “highly-publicized foreign trip”.

In a USA Today/Gallup poll of likely voters (usually more accurate than registered voters) taken between 7/25-28/08, Senator McCain actually has a lead of 49% to 45% for Senator Obama.

This must be rather disturbing to the Senator Obama campaign considering all the media coverage the senator received from the main stream media while on his foreign trip. The fawning main stream media may have actually hurt Senator Obama.

In a poll conducted by the nonpartisian Pew Research Center 8/1-4/08, 48% of the respondants said that they heard too much about Senator Obama while only 26% said they heard too much about Senator McCain. The breakdown of those numbers is really interesting:

2/3 of Republicans said they heard too much about Senator Obama (expected)
About 1/2 of Independents heard too much about Senator Obama (interesting – all this media coverage may turn off some Ind. voters to Senator Obama)
1/3 of Democrats said they heard too much about Senator Obaba (surprising!!!)

Further, about 40% of the respondants said that they did not hear enough about Senator McCain. The breakdown of those numbers is as follows:

50% of the Republicans (once again, expected)
40% of Independent voters (so, they want to learn more than what they can get in the main stream media)
25% of the Democrats that responded (once again, surprising!!)

So while the left leaning CBS/NY Times poll may give the Obama supporters a warm, fuzzy feeling, a closer look at other poll numbers does not look good for Senator Obama.

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